Forward-Looking Impact Intelligence

Know if your investment will work before you write the check.

OutcomeScore is the first probabilistic prediction engine for impact investments. We score proposed deals on outcome likelihood, map failure modes, and verify regenerative potential. Before capital is deployed.

Sample Assessment

Prediction Engine

Outcome Probability (SDG 2.1) 78%

Governance Risk 42%

Market Failure Risk 23%

Regenerative Score B+

Low confidence High confidence

$180B deployed annually.
Nobody knows if it works.

Impact investing in emerging markets relies on due diligence that costs $50K-$500K per deal, takes 6-18 months, and only tells you what happened in the past. Every DFI, PE firm, and climate fund is making forward-looking bets with backward-looking data.

$1.5T+

Global impact assets under management

6-18mo

Average due diligence timeline per deal

32%

Of impact investors verify outcomes with stakeholders

Platforms that predict outcomes before deployment

Three outputs that change the decision.

Each assessment returns actionable intelligence that replaces months of manual due diligence.

Outcome Probability Score

A single number with full explainability. What's driving it up, what's pulling it down, and how it compares to every similar investment that came before.

"78% probability of meeting SDG 2.1 target. Team track record (+12%), governance structure (+8%), market timing (-6%)."

Failure Mode Map

The three to five most likely ways this investment fails, ranked by probability. An early warning system, not a post-mortem.

"Governance breakdown: 42% likelihood. Market failure: 23%. Regulatory shift: 14%."

Regenerative Verification

Does this investment leave the ecosystem stronger? Proprietary scoring on counterfactual impact, durability, and attribution.

"Regen score: B+. Strong on durability (soil health +30yr). Weak on attribution (3 co-investors)."

Everyone measures the past. We predict the future.

Capability	Traditional Due Diligence	OutcomeScore
Outcome prediction	No	Yes
Failure mode analysis	Qualitative only	Probabilistic
Time to insight	6-18 months	Days
Cost per assessment	$50K-$500K	10-100x less
Regenerative scoring	Not measured	Triple-tested
Comparable benchmarks	Subjective	Data-driven